Poll: Trump leads in 5 of 6 battleground states Biden won in 2020

The 2024 presidential election is nearing and new polls show former President Donald Trump leading President Joe Biden in five of the six key battleground states. The polls — conducted by The New York Times, Siena College and The Philadelphia Inquirer from April 28 to May 9 — reveal that Trump is leading among registered voters in Pennsylvania, Arizona, Michigan, Georgia and Nevada. Though Biden maintains a two-point lead in Wisconsin, he won all six states in 2020.

The findings also highlight dissatisfaction among young and non-white voters with Biden’s presidential performance. Young Black and Hispanic voters expressed a desire for fundamental changes.

According to the Times, “a yearning for change and discontent over the economy and the war in Gaza” among young Black and Hispanic voters could “unravel the president’s Democratic coalition.”

The survey indicates that 20% of Black voters support Trump — the highest level of support for any Republican candidate in that demographic since the civil rights movement of the 1960s.

Regarding potential changes, only 11% of respondents believe that changes Biden would make “would be very good for the country,” while 19% view them as “very bad for the country.”

In contrast, Trump receives more positive marks, with 30% of respondents believing the changes he would make would be “very good for the country.” However, 29% think his changes would be “very bad.”

Both candidates are actively campaigning. Trump is also in the midst of his criminal trial in New York City, facing 34 criminal counts related to “hush-money” payments to adult film star Stormy Daniels. Despite this, the trial does not appear to have a significant negative effect on voters.

In the current climate, 40% of respondents said they would vote for Trump while 33% said they would vote for Biden if the election were held at the time the polls were conducted. Additionally, 10% express their intention to vote for Robert F. Kennedy Jr., the third-party candidate pulling votes from both sides of the political aisle.