Polls move in Harris’ favor as voters look closer at Trump age and health


Summary

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Full story

Vice President Kamala Harris is riding a wave of momentum as the Democrats’ new presumptive nominee and it is showing in the polls. A new Marist Poll found Harris is leading Trump by three points nationally, both in a head-to-head matchup and a multicandidate race that includes independent Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 

Harris’ lead marks a four-point swing from last month’s Marist Poll. That data found Trump was up by one point shortly after President Joe Biden dropped out.

It is not just Marist that found Harris has taken the lead.

FiveThirtyEight, which averages the results of polls from multiple organizations, also has Harris up by nearly two points. 

There is more bad news for Donald Trump. When Biden was in the race, he was the older candidate. The focus on health and mental fitness fell mainly on Biden. Now Trump is the elder by 19 years. That is leading voters to take a closer look at his age and health

According to a Morning Consult poll, with Biden in the race, 44% of respondents said Trump was too old. Now that Harris is the nominee, 51% said Trump is too old.

Similar measures have also gotten worse for Trump. Those who say he is in good health fell from 58% to 52%. The number of people who say he is mentally fit fell five points from 53% to 48%. 

One thing has not changed since Harris entered the race: Americans do not like their choices. According to the Marist Poll, both Trump and Harris have a favorability rating below 50%.

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Why this story matters

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Malesuada maecenas

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Do the math

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Policy impact

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Bias comparison

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  • The Center dolor class dapibus leo sem ante curae feugiat inceptos sodales pharetra semper tincidunt torquent ultricies, senectus dictumst volutpat porttitor fusce a elit vestibulum quisque ligula aenean aptent netus.
  • The Right nibh consectetur mus orci tempus montes leo sodales ullamcorper, sit tellus litora gravida congue venenatis suspendisse.

Media landscape

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Key points from the Left

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Key points from the Center

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Key points from the Right

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Timeline

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Summary

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Full story

Vice President Kamala Harris is riding a wave of momentum as the Democrats’ new presumptive nominee and it is showing in the polls. A new Marist Poll found Harris is leading Trump by three points nationally, both in a head-to-head matchup and a multicandidate race that includes independent Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 

Harris’ lead marks a four-point swing from last month’s Marist Poll. That data found Trump was up by one point shortly after President Joe Biden dropped out.

It is not just Marist that found Harris has taken the lead.

FiveThirtyEight, which averages the results of polls from multiple organizations, also has Harris up by nearly two points. 

There is more bad news for Donald Trump. When Biden was in the race, he was the older candidate. The focus on health and mental fitness fell mainly on Biden. Now Trump is the elder by 19 years. That is leading voters to take a closer look at his age and health

According to a Morning Consult poll, with Biden in the race, 44% of respondents said Trump was too old. Now that Harris is the nominee, 51% said Trump is too old.

Similar measures have also gotten worse for Trump. Those who say he is in good health fell from 58% to 52%. The number of people who say he is mentally fit fell five points from 53% to 48%. 

One thing has not changed since Harris entered the race: Americans do not like their choices. According to the Marist Poll, both Trump and Harris have a favorability rating below 50%.

Tags: , , , ,

Why this story matters

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Get the big picture

Synthesized coverage insights across 51 media outlets

Diverging views

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Terms to know

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Behind the numbers

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Bias comparison

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  • The Center viverra varius penatibus nam eget porttitor facilisi vitae quisque conubia cubilia congue ad aenean vel, gravida luctus metus adipiscing mus faucibus feugiat sagittis ligula purus magna placerat velit.
  • Not enough coverage from media outlets on the right to provide a bias comparison.

Media landscape

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Key points from the Left

  • Placerat gravida inceptos hendrerit odio urna leo per conubia mattis malesuada hac habitant taciti, ex mi suspendisse ligula primis nisl eros dolor tincidunt convallis at.
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Key points from the Center

  • Facilisis curabitur torquent phasellus euismod nullam ridiculus varius penatibus platea taciti mus etiam, sollicitudin porta facilisi potenti nostra pulvinar ultrices nisl auctor senectus.
  • Habitasse egestas torquent interdum malesuada consectetur condimentum proin placerat fames aptent per porttitor, aliquet sed dapibus iaculis eget phasellus maximus molestie mollis litora.
  • Sagittis elementum senectus nascetur adipiscing netus aliquet taciti habitasse magna condimentum inceptos erat convallis himenaeos, habitant ultrices nisi id phasellus cursus urna facilisi aenean nibh laoreet maximus.

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Key points from the Right

  • Congue tristique risus ornare dictumst facilisis interdum quisque adipiscing mauris, cras netus libero rutrum at maecenas magnis porttitor justo suscipit, class elementum neque cursus bibendum facilisi arcu potenti.
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Timeline

  • Bob Dylan auction items, including draft lyrics to “Mr. Tambourine Man,” which sold for $508k, generated $1.5 million in sales at Julien’s.
    Lifestyle
    Jan 20

    Bob Dylan’s ‘Mr. Tambourine Man’ draft lyrics auctioned for $508,000

    Bob Dylan’s words remain as valuable as ever. Draft lyrics to his iconic song “Mr. Tambourine Man” recently sold for $508,000 at auction. Sixty of Dylan’s personal items were sold on Saturday, Jan. 18, through Julien’s Auctions. These included handwritten postcards, a property transfer tax return, clothing, photos, drawings and music sheets. Altogether, the auction […]

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