Walkie-talkies exploded across Lebanon on Wednesday, Sept. 18, killing at least 20 people and wounding 450 in a new attack targeting Hezbollah. The attack came just one day after pager explosions killed at least 12 people and injured thousands across the country. Israel, widely believed to be behind the attacks, declared that a “new era” of war had begun, with the focus now shifting to the Lebanese border.

Watch the video above as Straight Arrow News contributor Peter Zeihan explains how he believes the Israelis carried out the operation and why he thinks it won’t lead to a regional war.

Excerpted from Peter’s Sept. 19 “Zeihan on Geopolitics” newsletter:

If your pocket starts to feel warm in the coming days, here’s a few questions you should ask yourself. #1 — Are you trapped in the 80s? #2 — Are you affiliated with any terrorist organizations?

If you answered yes to either of these questions, you should probably throw your pager away… but hopefully all of my readers ditched their pagers before Bush Senior left office.

If you haven’t heard by now, a sophisticated Israeli operation targeting Hezbollah in Lebanon was carried out on Sept. 17. While Israel has not officially claimed this attack, it appears to be the next chapter in the rising tensions between Israel and Hezbollah.

Israel’s operation involved intercepting pagers somewhere along Hezbollah’s supply chain, implanting explosives, and then returning those devices to the supply chain to eventually end up in the hands of Hezbollah operatives. Those devices were then detonated earlier this week. Hezbollah has evolved into a political and militant power within Lebanon, so they’ve somewhat limited conflict with Israel to help maintain their political footholds.

This attack resulted in a number of casualties among Hezbollah and also provided the Israeli’s with a strategic understanding of who is involved with the organization. As of now, I don’t expect this to escalate into a broader conflict.