Northern Africa faces numerous challenges. Over the next few decades, the region is anticipated to become hotter and drier. The combination of natural disasters and ongoing military conflicts is harming its most vulnerable people, as well, prompting an increasing number to migrate to Europe.

In the latest installment of his “post-American” series, Straight Arrow News contributor Peter Zeihan analyzes the African region that is “utterly incapable of projecting power.”

Excerpted from Peter’s Dec. 28 “Zeihan on Geopolitics” newsletter:

For our next installment in the ‘post-American’ series, we’re looking at Northern Africa. This region only has a few countries that will turn out alright and a lot that will hurt for some time.

So, who’s topping the leaderboard? Countries like Morocco and Tunisia have a leg up thanks to their -somewhat- functional economies. On the flipside, countries like Algeria, Libya, and Egypt have an uphill battle ahead of them.

This region will be far from stagnant between military interventions, dependency on extra-regional powers, and a looming famine. But we’re only scratching the surface of this continent, so we’ll dive into Sub-Saharan Africa later in the series.

Access Peter’s other post-American world commentaries:

• East Asia in a post-American world
• Romania in a post-American world
• Scandinavia reawakens in a post-American world
• Australia in a post-American world
• India in a post-American world
• How should Turkey navigate in a post-American world?
• Israel in a post-American world
• Germany’s steep decline poses dire threat to future of EU
• The Middle East in a post-American world
• Getting ready for the post-American world