President Joe Biden’s approval ratings shot up to 44%, an increase from 38% in July. Though still below the 50% rating an incumbent president typically requires for a positive midterm election outcome, the upward trend could present a challenge for Republicans. Straight Arrow News contributor David Pakman argues the recent Biden momentum could impact the midterms, and if it continues, the 2024 presidential election:
The fact that Joe Biden is getting so many things done — some of them while he was in COVID quarantine — while Donald Trump is posting to Truth Social, attacking people, telling lies, and complaining, and having his home have searched by the FBI — it just looks terrible for Trump and it looks very good for Joe Biden.
Now there’s a long time before the 2024 election. We don’t know if Trump is running. We don’t know if Biden is running for reelection. We don’t know what the outcome of the midterms is going to be. Right now, based on all of the polling and based on everything that I can see, the most likely outcome is Democrats lose the House, but not by much. Democrats keep the Senate, probably expanding control of the Senate, and nothing gets done for the next two years because you will have a split Congress and complete partisan gridlock.
This will lead us to a 2024 where whoever the candidates are, whether it’s Biden or a different Democrat, whether it’s Trump or a different Democrat, you will have both sides saying if you elect me, I will break the partisan gridlock that we have seen for the last two years.
And of course, the truth is, no individual president can really break it. It’s a matter of who controls the House and who controls the Senate and all of this is going to be bound up in what happens in the next couple of months leading up to the midterm. So a very good month to two months for Joe Biden. The question is will it persist and what will it do for Democrats in November.