Economics, immigration top issues; pollster says personalities come first
The majority of voters say the economy and immigration are their top issues, according to a new YouGov poll. However, one pollster is now questioning the weight these issues will have on a person’s vote: Will a voter choose their candidate based on policy or personality?
The YouGov poll shows 54% of voters say the most important issues to them are inflation, the economy, immigration and government spending. Matters concerning the economy and the border have consistently ranked as top concerns for voters.
During the week of Aug. 12, former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris are laying out their economic agendas. However, Frank Luntz, a pollster and commentary contributor for Straight Arrow News, told CNBC that from what he is hearing in focus groups, these policies might not be what sways a person’s vote.
“The people who were undecided have all collapsed toward Harris,” Luntz said. “The people who are weak Trump have collapsed toward undecided. It’s a broad shift. The issues and conditions favor former President Donald Trump. He should be winning this election. But the attributes are so much in Harris’ favor that he’s not.”
Other polling out this week focused on the vice presidential picks, Sen. JD Vance, R-Ohio, and Gov. Tim Walz, D-Minn. According to another YouGov poll, 29% of voters say Vance hurts Trump’s chances of winning the White House, while 24% say Vance helps Trump. The other 47% are unsure or say it makes no difference.
The same poll shows 42% of voters believe Walz will help Harris’ chances of becoming president, while 16% say he hurts her campaign. The remaining 42% were unsure or said it doesn’t matter.
Vance and Walz are set to debate on Oct. 1.
Polls still show that the race is projected to be tight in November. Fox News polling out Thursday, Aug. 15, shows Trump with a one-point edge over Harris. The New York Times shows Harris with a two-point lead over Trump.
With the race this close, the campaign trail is red-hot, as Harris, Walz, Trump and Vance are all vying for Americans’ votes.
Both vice presidential candidates, Sen. JD Vance, R-Ohio, and Gov. Tim Walz, D-Minn., are preparing to face off in their first possible debate, scheduled for Oct. 1. This comes after CBS News proposed four potential dates for the debate: Sept. 17, Sept. 24, Oct. 1 and Oct. 8. Walz was quick to confirm his participation, posting on social media that he would be ready to take the stage on Oct. 1.
Vance, while not formally committed, has indicated that he is likely to join the debate. In an Aug. 14 interview with Fox News, he explained that his team is currently reviewing the debate’s rules and moderators before making a final decision. Vance said he wants to ensure the event will allow for a fair exchange of ideas adding that the importance of having a structured debate that provides both candidates with an equal platform.
“I strongly suspect we’re going to be there on October the 1st, but we’re not going to do one of these fake debates where they don’t actually have an audience there, where they don’t actually set the parameters in a way where we can have a good exchange of ideas,” Vance said. “In other words, we’re not going to walk into a fake news media garbage debate. We’re going to do a real debate, and if CBS agrees to it, then certainly we’ll do it.”
Vance also suggested that multiple debates would be beneficial, allowing voters to get a clearer picture of the contrasting visions offered by both campaigns.
The upcoming debate will provide voters with their first direct comparison of the two candidates’ positions on key issues. As the campaign heats up, the Oct. 1 event will be a critical moment in the race, offering insight into how both candidates plan to address topics ranging from the economy to national security.
Vance held a rally in Michigan on Wednesday, Aug. 14, and will speak at a veterans event Thursday, Aug. 15, in Pennsylvania. Walz held events in Denver and Boston on Wednesday and will be campaigning in Newport on Thursday.
Walz defends his military record at first solo campaign event
Gov. Tim Walz (D-MN) defends his military record in his first solo campaign event since being named Vice President Kamala Harris’ running mate. And an emergency declaration is approved for Puerto Rico as Tropical Storm Ernesto churns through the Caribbean. These stories and more highlight The Morning Rundown for Wednesday, August 14, 2024.
Walz defends his military record at first solo campaign event
With just 83 days left until the 2024 election, Vice President Kamala Harris’ running mate, Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz, held his first solo campaign event on Tuesday, Aug. 13, speaking at the American Federation of State, County and Municipal Employees convention in Los Angeles. During his speech, he addressed his 24-year military record, which has become one of the top controversies for the Democratic ticket.
Republican vice presidential pick Ohio Sen. JD Vance has accused Walz of “stolen valor,” criticizing Walz over remarks he made in 2018 saying he carried weapons in war, even though he never saw combat. The Harris campaign has clarified Walz “misspoke” when he said that.
“I just want to say I’m proud to have served my country and I always will be,” Walz said. “I firmly believe you should never denigrate a person’s service record. To anyone brave enough to put on that uniform for our great country, including my opponent, I just have a few simple words: thank you for your service and sacrifice.”
Walz served in the United States National Guard. Vance is a former Marine.
Walz will be taking part in a five-state fundraising blitz over the next several days, while Vance will be in Michigan on Wednesday, Aug. 14, and Pennsylvania on Thursday, Aug. 15.
According to the UAW, Trump and Musk advocated for firing workers who strike. Striking is a protected activity under the National Labor Relations Act and workers cannot legally be fired for it.
Recently, the UAW has been trying to organize Tesla employees and it has endorsed Vice President Harris in the 2024 presidential race.
The newly approved arms sale to Israel will include 50 fighter jets, air-to-air missiles, tank ammunition and tactical vehicles. The sale, however, isn’t expected to make an immediate difference in the current conflict. It’s unlikely these weapons will be delivered until 2026 at the earliest.
Meanwhile, Hamas’ new leader says it won’t be attending a planned meeting in Qatar for ongoing cease-fire talks on Thursday, Aug. 15.
President Biden and European leaders have been pushing both sides to return to the negotiating table as Iran has doubled down on threats to attack Israel. President Biden told reporters Tuesday a cease-fire deal could prevent a broader war from breaking out in the Middle East.
Hamas’ refusal to take part in negotiations signals any compromise is still far off.
Japanese prime minister won’t seek reelection amid political scandals
Japanese Prime Minister Fumio Kishida said he will not run for a second term to lead the long-ruling Liberal Democratic Party. Instead, he will step down next month after scandal, public dissatisfaction, and rising living costs have riddled his three-year term.
In recent months, the LDP has been in the middle of one of Japan’s biggest political scandals in decades. Two of the most influential factions in the LDP are accused of failing to properly declare their income and expenditures and rerouting political funds to lawmakers as kickbacks.
Puerto Rico under state of emergency ahead of Ernesto
Puerto Rico is under a state of emergency as Tropical Storm Ernesto churns its way. It’s expected to become a hurricane at some point Wednesday morning, unleashing flooding rainfall and heavy winds that could be a massive blow to the island’s struggling power infrastructure.
The National Hurricane Center said the storm could become a major hurricane “in a couple of days.”
This comes only days after Debby finished its deadly and destructive trek along the United States’ east coast. Ernesto is the fifth named storm of the Atlantic hurricane season.
Google unveils new lineup of AI-powered phones
The next generation of the phone wars is here and it’s all about artificial intelligence. On Tuesday, Aug. 13, Google unveiled its latest lineup of pixel phones at its annual showcase.
The yearly event was held a bit earlier than usual this year as Google looks to be one step ahead of Apple when it comes to AI. While we wait for Apple to reveal its next-gen iPhones in September, Google showcased its Pixel 9 lineup — four new phones complete with AI capabilities using its Gemini technology.
New AI functions include a voice conversation feature and a magic editor that can add a person to a photo who wasn’t in the original.
Google’s new phones are available now to preorder. Two are being released on August 22 and the other two on September 4, with the least expensive pixel costing $800 and the most expensive selling for $1,800.
“I was informed by the authorities that a couple of my personal email accounts have been compromised,” Stone said in a brief interview. “I really don’t know more about it. And I’m cooperating. It’s all very strange.”
It remains unclear if the attempts on the Biden campaign were successful. No evidence suggests that the Harris campaign was affected.
The investigation, initiated in June when President Joe Biden was still a presidential candidate, focuses on suspected Iranian efforts to steal data from the campaigns. This follows a Microsoft report issued Aug, 9, indicating that Iranian operatives attempted to interfere with the 2024 election.
According to Microsoft, these operatives tried to infiltrate the account of a high-ranking official within a U.S. presidential campaign. They also managed to compromise an account of a former political adviser, which was then used to target the campaign.
Trump’s campaign stated that it seemed to have been impacted by these efforts after confidential campaign documents were leaked to various news outlets. The Iranian government has denied involvement in hacking the Trump campaign.
Vance speaks on Trump’s plans for abortion pills, deportations
Republican vice presidential candidate Sen. JD Vance, R-Ohio, had multiple one-on-one interviews air on Sunday, Aug. 11. In the interviews, he spoke with CNN’s Dana Bash, CBS’ Margaret Brennan and ABC’s Jonathan Karl about former President Donald Trump’s plans should he be elected again in 2024.
On CBS, Vance defended recent comments by the former president indicating he may be willing to roll back access to the abortion pill. Vance said Trump “wants abortion-related decisions to be left to the states.”
On CNN, Vance commented on Vice President Kamala Harris’ running mate, Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz, saying he’s the one being “weird” after that term has been used by the Democratic Party to describe the Republican ticket.
“I think that you take a sequential approach to it,” Vance said. “You are going to have to deport some people. If you’re not willing to deport a lot of people, you’re not willing to have a border when there are 20 million illegal aliens in our country.”
He went on to explain, “You start with what’s achievable, you do that, and then you go on to what’s achievable from there. I think if you deport a lot of violent criminals, and frankly, if you make it harder to hire illegal labor — which undercuts the wages of American workers — I think you go a lot of the way to solving the illegal immigration problem. But look, President Trump is absolutely right; you cannot have a border unless you’re willing to deport some people. I think it’s interesting that people focus on, ‘Well, how do you deport 18 million people?’ Let’s start with one million, that’s where Kamala Harris has failed, and then we can go from there.”
Vance will be on the campaign trail on Wednesday, Aug. 14, making a stop in Michigan, a key swing state, while Trump is set address the economy in North Carolina.
Trump also is scheduled to sit down with Tesla owner Elon Musk on Monday night, Aug. 12.
US sending submarine to Middle East amid new developments
U.S. Secretary of Defense Lloyd Austin has ordered a guided missile submarine to the Middle East. And Tom Cruise gives the Paris Olympics a Hollywood ending as we look toward the 2028 Summer Games in Los Angeles. These stories and more highlight The Morning Rundown for Monday, Aug. 12, 2024.
U.S. sending submarine to Middle East amid new developments
The U.S. ordered the deployment of the USS Georgia, a “nuclear-powered submarine with cruise missiles,” to the Middle East. The movement of U.S. missile submarines is rarely revealed publicly — typically operating in near-complete secrecy — but the move comes as Israel is anticipating a potentially “large scale attack” by Iran in the next few days.
According to Axios, Israeli Defense Minister Yoav Gallant told U.S. Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin on Sunday, Aug. 11, that Iran was making preparations for the attack on Israel. On Monday, Aug. 12 morning, Reuters reported Gallant’s ministry has confirmed a call between the two took place overnight.
The Israeli military has ordered more evacuations from part of a humanitarian safe zone it had set up in southwestern Gaza, saying they now plan to expand fighting. The IDF said there have been indications Hamas terrorists have a significant presence there now living among civilians.
These orders come a day after Israel struck a school-turned-shelter that the Hamas-run health ministry said killed at least 80 people. Israel claims Hamas fighters were hiding at the school compound.
Meanwhile, Hamas’ new leader said Sunday, Aug. 11, there would be no new negotiations for a cease-fire in Gaza this week unless mediators from the U.S., Qatar and Egypt revert to a plan that would see a truce in the war.
In a “CBS Sunday Morning,” President Joe Biden said he believes a cease-fire deal is still possible before he leaves office.
Biden gives first interview since dropping out of 2024 race
The CBS interview on Sunday was President Biden’s first interview since pulling out of the 2024 race. Biden explained a major reason why he made that decision was so the Democratic Party could focus on what he says is the real issue: defeating former President Donald Trump.
“Polls we had showed that it was neck and neck race, would’ve been down to the wire,” Biden said. “But what happened was a number of my Democratic colleagues in the House and Senate thought that I was going to hurt them in the races, and I was concerned if I stayed in the race that would be the topic. You’d be interviewing me about ‘Why did Nancy Pelosi say, why did so-and-so say?’ and I thought it would be a distraction.”
He added, “Although it’s a great honor being president, I think I have an obligation to the country to do the most important thing you can do, and that is we must, we must defeat Trump.”
Republican vice presidential candidate Sen. JD Vance, R-Ohio, had multiple one-on-one interviews air on Sunday, Aug. 11. In the interviews, he spoke with CNN’s Dana Bash, CBS’ Margaret Brennan and ABC’s Jonathan Karl about former President Trump’s plans should he be elected again in 2024.
On CBS, Vance defended recent comments by the former president indicating he may be willing to roll back access to the abortion pill. He said Trump “wants abortion related decisions to be left to the states.”
On CNN, Vance commented on Vice President Harris’ running mate, Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz, saying he’s the one being “weird” after that term has been used by the Democratic Party to describe the Republican ticket.
“I think that you take a sequential approach to it,” Vance said. “You are going to have to deport some people. If you’re not willing to deport a lot of people, you’re not willing to have a border when there are 20 million illegal aliens in our country.”
“You start with what’s achievable, you do that, and then you go on to what’s achievable from there,” Vance added. “I think if you deport a lot of violent criminals, and frankly, if you make it harder to hire illegal labor — which undercuts the wages of American workers — I think you go a lot of the way to solving the illegal immigration problem. But look, President Trump is absolutely right; you cannot have a border unless you’re willing to deport some people. I think it’s interesting that people focus on, ‘Well, how do you deport 18 million people?’ Let’s start with one million, that’s where Kamala Harris has failed, and then we can go from there.”
Vance will be on the campaign trail on Wednesday, Aug. 14, making a stop in Michigan, a key swing state, while Trump is set address the economy in North Carolina.
Trump will be sitting down for an interview with Elon Musk on Monday night, Aug. 12.
Trump campaign says it was hacked by Iran
There are new concerns over foreign interference in the U.S. election after the Trump campaign said over the weekend it was hacked by Iran.
Both Politico and The Washington Post reported receiving internal Trump documents including research on Trump’s running mate, Sen. Vance, “from an anonymous email account.”
News of a campaign hack comes just as Microsoft said on Friday, Aug. 9, it discovered “evidence that Iranian hackers targeted an email account of a campaign official” back in June. While Microsoft didn’t specify what campaign was impacted in their announcement, a person familiar to the talks told The Washington Post it was Trump’s campaign.
The extent of any sort of hack is not currently known, but the Post said they received hundreds of pages labeled as “confidential.”
USA Gymnastics: Video shows Jordan Chiles should not be stripped of medal
There’s some controversy as the Summer Olympics in Paris reach their end. USA Gymnastics is challenging the ruling of Olympic officials that called for Team USA gymnast Jordan Chiles to return her bronze medal.
Chiles won the medal after the individual floor exercise final last week, after her coach submitted a review of the judges’ scores.
However, the decision this weekend by the court of arbitration for sport said Chiles’ coach had asked for the review four seconds after a one-minute deadline to submit such a request had expired per competition rules, meaning Romania won the bronze.
On Sunday, Aug. 11, USA gymnastics fired back at that ruling, saying it has submitted time-stamped video evidence showing the request was made within the one minute window. Olympic officials have yet to respond to the latest twist in this gymnastics saga.
Tom Cruise closes Paris Olympics with Hollywood ending
Team USA led the way at the 2024 Olympics with the most total medals: 126. It also tied with China for most gold medals, with 40 each.
As Paris marked the conclusion of its Olympics, it was up to the next host city, Los Angeles, to close out the show in style and L.A. brought a Hollywood ending.
Actor Tom Cruise channeled his “Top Gun” and “Mission: Impossible” roles by jumping off the stadium’s roof in Paris.
He was then handed the Olympic flag by Los Angeles Mayor Karen Bass and Olympic great Simone Biles to take back to L.A.
The closing ceremony also saw the musician H.E.R. singing the national anthem, as well as performances by the Red Hot Chili Peppers, Snoop Dogg, Dr. Dre and Billie Eilish.
Coincidentally, Team USA taking home 126 medals is the most since the U.S. won 174 in 1984 — the last time the Olympics were played in Los Angeles.
Trump is losing in polls, betting odds and WSJ Editorial Board
By many measures, Donald Trump is currently losing the presidential race. The polls, the betting odds, and the Wall Street Journal Editorial Board are all drifting away from him and the current has grown stronger. It is a massive flip in fortune since July 20, when he was facing President Joe Biden.
The betting odds are moving in Vice President Kamala Harris’ favor, according to multiple trackers including Predictit.org. The site is a combination of a sports book and the stock market. To buy a share predicting Harris will be the next president costs 58 cents, compared to 47 for Trump.
Ever since Biden passed Harris the baton on July 21, she had been trailing. The odds switched to her favor July 31, and she has only pulled away further from there.
British sportsbook William Hill improved Nikki Haley’s chances of winning the presidency from 250/1 to 50/1 based on the premise that Haley would replace Trump as the nominee.
Then there are the polls.
According to a new IPSOS poll that surveyed voters in the crucial battleground states of Michigan, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Georgia, North Carolina, Arizona and Nevada, Harris leads Trump by two points.
“Yet the political reality is that he has a ceiling of support that is below 50% because so many Americans dislike him,” the board wrote. “And now that he is in the news every day campaigning, he is reminding those voters why they didn’t vote to re-elect him in 2020.”
The board warns of consequences down ballot.
“The former President doesn’t seem to realize he’s now in a close race that requires discipline and a consistent message to prevail,” the board said. “And his struggles are hurting GOP candidates for the House and Senate.”
There are also questions about his campaigning.
In 2016, Trump’s campaign schedule was unceasing. In fact he credited a hastily planned Michigan rally at 1 a.m. the night before the election as a key reason for his victory in that state.
“Did you ever think you’d be hearing a major speech like at around close to 1 o’clock in the morning, are we crazy?” Trump told the crowd while looking at his watch.
Since the Republican National Convention ended July 18, Trump has held only five rallies. Kamala Harris has held more events this week. To counter her, Trump sent his running mate JD Vance. Meanwhile, Trump held a press conference from his home in Florida. Harris had been criticized for not speaking to the press.
Regardless, Trump currently has one event listed on his campaign website, a rally in Bozeman, Montana, on Friday, Aug. 9.
FTC Chair Lina Khan got under Big Tech’s skin. Now they want her gone.
In the wake of a federal judge ruling that Google is a monopoly for its search business practices, all eyes are turning to other antitrust cases in the works. But even before the Google decision brought by the Justice Department, the Federal Trade Commission and its celebrity chair were feeling the political heat.
FTC Chair Lina Khan has made a name for herself by placing a target on massive tech companies in the United States. The 35-year-old was appointed by President Joe Biden to shake up antitrust enforcement. But some Democratic megadonors are hoping Vice President Kamala Harris will ease the regulatory scrutiny and appoint a more moderate chair.
Last month, LinkedIn co-founder Reid Hoffman called on the vice president to replace Khan if she is elected in November. The billionaire previously donated $10 million to the Biden campaign before the president dropped out of the race and has since thrown his support behind Harris.
“I do think that Lina Khan is a person who is not helping America in her job and what she’s doing,” Hoffman told CNN in July. “And so I would hope that Vice President Harris would replace her.”
Hoffman has since clarified that his position on Khan is not a condition for supporting Harris. But his comments, and similar ones made by IAC Chair Barry Diller, are catching attention.
“Hoffman’s comment is highly provocative and I think [it is] unusual to say, ‘Bring me the head of the FTC chair, get her out of the chair’s position,’” former FTC chair and commissioner Bill Kovacic told Straight Arrow News. “A new president could not literally fire her. She can’t be removed from the commission but she can be demoted simply by the president signing a letter saying, ‘You are the former chair now, now you’re a commissioner.’”
But the opinion of Khan is split and that split doesn’t happen on political lines. Earlier this year, vice presidential candidate J.D. Vance said the FTC chair was “doing a pretty good job.”
The following transcript has been edited for length and clarity. Watch the full response in the video above.
Simone Del Rosario: To hear that an FTC chair is being brought up in the conversation of a presidential election and donations to the Democratic candidate for president, what do you make of this environment? What does it tell you about how [Khan has] been received in this world and the direction she’s decided to take?
Bill Kovacic: I suppose in the modern world, nothing should surprise us, but Hoffman’s comment is highly provocative and I think unusual to say, ‘Bring me the head of the FTC chair, get her out of the chair’s position.’ A new president could not literally fire her. She can’t be removed from the commission, but she can be demoted simply by the president signing a letter saying, ‘You are the former chair now, now you’re a commissioner.’
As a footnote, Lina Khan is the most famous competition policy enforcer in the world today, globally. There’s no part of the world you can go to without people knowing who she is. And if you identify yourself as a U.S. citizen, you will be asked immediately, ‘Do you know about Lina Khan?’
So to step forward and say, ‘I want her out of there, in fact, her departure by suggestion is a condition of our support and our enthusiasm for your campaign,’ is quite extraordinary. It does show how Lina Khan has touched a nerve. And I’d say a very sensitive nerve within that community to the degree that no other regulator in my lifetime – going back into the 1970s since Michael Pertschuk who was the chair of the FTC and a strong advocate of powerful competition and consumer protection intervention – nobody has aroused that kind of specific condemnation in that period of time.
I suppose the chair can look at that and say, ‘Good, it’s working. If they loved me, I’m not doing my job.’ And I think in part, she defines her effectiveness, a rough measure of her effectiveness is the vocal exuberant statement of firms in the sector who are saying these things because here we have an agency that’s doing things that really do hurt in some ways.
So I find it an extraordinary comment, but it truly is a testament to how she has changed the debate, changed the focus of attention, and has brought to bear the resources of her agency in a way that has aroused their concern.
A fascinating question is how much will Vice President Harris respond to this if she becomes President Harris. What would happen in a President Harris administration with regard to policy and Big Tech? Would she, in small steps, walk away from the approach that the Biden administration has taken? Will she quietly seek appointments to bring a more moderating influence into the Federal Trade Commission or the Department of Justice? Or will she say, ‘This is why we are in the White House. This is why we have power. We’re gonna exercise it this way.’
Would elected officials such as [Sen.] Elizabeth Warren, [Sen.] Bernie Sanders, as well as some of their counterparts in the Republican Party, the [Sen.] Josh Hawley team, for example, would they rise up and say, ‘You will not touch these programs? We demand that these programs go ahead. This is crucial to the larger progressive agenda and you will not undercut it.’
I suspect if [Harris] took visible steps to retreat from the Khan program or the program that Jonathan Kanter has laid out in the Department of Justice, she could very well face the wrath of the progressives, left and right, in Congress. I don’t think she’d want to provoke that fight openly, so the means of adjustment might be far more subtle and less visible to the naked eye.
The appointment of individuals who have a somewhat more cautious approach to applying the law; one approach would be to say with respect to these Big Tech cases, ‘We already have a very full plate and part of my job is to bring them home, to make sure that they land safely and that the projects work. I’m going to do that. I’m going to worry less about initiating new path-breaking measures. I’m going to make sure that those are brought to a successful conclusion.’ That could be one approach she takes.
Another area where she could back off is merger control. And I think for the Big Tech companies, for [Marc] Andreessen, for Hoffman, for others, they are less disturbed by the big monopolization cases than they are by the aggression with which the FTC and the Department of Justice have gone after deal making. And that might be an area where the Harris team, after January of 2025, backs off a bit and isn’t quite so aggressive as the FTC and DOJ have been.
That would be the barometer for me. That’s the real indication of whether we’re seeing an adjustment in attitude towards tech is the question of merger control. I would not expect her to tamper with these big cases.
I wouldn’t expect [former President Donald] Trump to do it either. The DOJ search case that we’ve been talking about began in his presidency. The FTC case against Meta began in his presidency. The investigation of Apple that led to a case began in his presidency. And he has no fondness for that sector. His vice presidential candidate partner, Senator [J.D.] Vance, has no fondness for that sector. He said, ‘I think Khan’s doing a good job.’
I could imagine that both of them would say, ‘What’s the right remedy in this case? It’s to break them up. We have to de-concentrate these sectors to take their power away because we don’t trust them,’ for different reasons.
With regard to these Big Tech monopolization cases, I think those carry on where we could see a change in both a Harris administration and, maybe more visibly in a Trump administration, is a change in merger control. And maybe that’s what Hoffman and his counterparts have been complaining [about]. That’s their real grievance here is that we can’t do deals.